Hillary Clinton has a 2-point edge over Donald Trump with less than a week before the election.
That’s according to a new national Fox News Poll of likely voters conducted Tuesday-Thursday.
In the four way race, Clinton tops Trump by a 45-43 percent margin. She was up by three points a week ago (44-41 percent) and by six in mid-October (45-39 percent). Gary Johnson gets 5 percent and Jill Stein two percent. Only four percent are undecided.
The Fox News Poll is based on landline and cellphone interviews with 1,211 randomly chosen registered voters nationwide and was conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R) from November 1-3, 2016.
The survey includes results among 1,107 likely voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points for results among registered voters and plus or minus 3 points among likely voters.
Without third-party candidates in the mix, Clinton is ahead by just one point: 46-45 percent. She was up five points in the two-way last week (49-44 percent, October 22-25).
Clinton leads among women (+13 points), blacks (+74), and voters under age 30 (+17). She’s also ahead by 11 points among the one-in-five who have already voted (50-39 percent).
They split the support of whites with a college degree: Trump gets 45 percent to Clinton’s 42 percent. In 2012, GOP nominee Mitt Romney won this group by 14 points (56-42 percent).
Both candidates are consolidating their bases, but Clinton outperforms Trump: she gets 90 percent among Democrats and he gets 85 percent of Republicans.
Trump has an 8-point edge over Clinton among independents (41-33 percent). That’s down from his 13-point advantage last week (41-28 percent). Johnson takes 11 percent.
Trump has a six-point strength-of-support advantage, as more of his backers (71 percent) say they “strongly” support their candidate than Clinton supporters (65 percent). In addition, his folks (63 percent) are more likely than hers (54 percent) to be “extremely” interested in the race.
That enthusiasm gap may be one consequence of the renewed FBI investigation into Clinton’s use of a private email server while she was secretary of state. How much damage has the scandal really done to her campaign?